The Current Pulse of Mainstream Country Music: March 10, 2019

Several years ago, Josh Schott started a weekly feature on the now-defunct Country Perspective blog that asked a simple question: Based on Billboard’s country airplay charts, just how good (or bad) is country radio at this very moment? In the spirit of the original feature, I decided to try my hand at evaluating the state of the radio myself.

The methodology is as follows: Each song that appears is assigned a score based on its review score. 0/10 songs get the minimum score (-5), 10/10 songs get the maximum (+5), and so on. The result (which can range from +250 to -250) gives you an idea of where things stand on the radio.

This week’s official numbers are from Country Aircheck’s weekly chart table (because Mediabase’s official PDF is unavailable for some reason). Without further ado, let’s crunch some numbers!

Song Score
1. Luke Combs, “Beautiful Crazy” +1 (6/10)
2. Midland, “Burn Out” +5 (10/10)
3. Chris Stapleton, “Millionaire” 0 (5/10)
4. Jordan Davis, “Take It From Me” -2 (3/10)
5. Riley Green, “There Was This Girl” +1 (6/10)
6. Michael Ray, “One That Got Away” -4 (1/10)
7. Brett Young, “Here Tonight” +1 (6/10)
8. Old Dominion, “Make It Sweet” (5/10)
9. Luke Bryan, “What Makes You Country” (5/10)
10. Jake Owen, “Down To The Honkytonk” -1 (4/10)
11. Chase Rice, “Eyes On You” 0 (5/10)
12. Carrie Underwood, “Love Wins” +3 (8/10)
13. Jon Pardi, “Night Shift” 0 (5/10)
14. Kelsea Ballerini, “Miss Me More” +4 (9/10)
15. Cody Johnson, “On My Way To You” +1 (6/10)
16. Eli Young Band, “Love Ain’t” -1 (4/10)
17. Kane Brown, “Good As You” +1 (6/10)
18. Morgan Wallen, “Whiskey Glasses” -1 (4/10)
19. Brett Eldredge, “Love Someone” 0 (5/10)
20. Tyler Rich, “The Difference” 0 (5/10)
21. Lee Brice, “Rumor” (5/10)
22. Florida Georgia Line, “Talk You Out Of It” -1 (4/10)
23. Rodney Atkins ft. The Fisk Jubilee Singers, “Caught Up In The Country” -3 (2/10)
24. Thomas Rhett, “Look What God Gave Her” +1 (6/10)
25. George Strait, “Every Little Honky Tonk Bar” +3 (8/10)
26. Runaway June, “Buy My Own Drinks” +2 (7/10)
27. Maren Morris, “GIRL” +1 (6/10)
28. LoCash, “Feels Like A Party” -2 (3/10)
29. Brantley Gilbert & Lindsay Ell, “What Happens In A Small Town” +1 (6/10)
30. Randy Houser ft. Hillary Lindsey, “What Whiskey Does” -1 (4/10)
31. Chris Young, “Raised On Country” +0 (5/10)
32. Eric Church, “Some Of It” +2 (7/10)
33. Maddie & Tae, “Friends Don’t” -1 (4/10)
34. Rascal Flatts, “Back To Life” +1 (6/10)
35. Carly Pearce, “Closer To You” 0 (5/10)
36. Morgan Evans, “Day Drunk” -1 (4/10)
37. Cole Swindell, “Love You Too Late” +2 (7/10)
38. Tenille Townes, “Somebody’s Daughter” 0 (5/10)
39. Russell Dickerson, “Every Little Thing” +2 (7/10)
40. Justin Moore, “The Ones That Didn’t Make It Back Home” +1 (6/10)
41. Kacey Musgraves, “Rainbow” +3 (8/10)
42. Dan + Shay, “All To Myself” -1 (4/10)
43. Brothers Osborne, “I Don’t Remember Me (Before You)” 0 (5/10)
44. Lauren Alaina, “Ladies In The 90s” -1 (4/10)
45. Tim McGraw, “Thought About You” 0 (5/10)
46. Dylan Scott, “Nothing To Do Town” -1 (4/10)
47. Jason Aldean, “Rearview Town” +2 (7/10)
48. Chris Lane, “I Don’t Know About You” -2 (3/10)
49. Jimmie Allen, “Make Me Want To” -1 (4/10)
50. Dylan Schneider, “How Does It Sound” 0 (5/10)
Present Pulse (#1—#25) +8
Future Pulse (#26—#50) +6
Overall Pulse +14
Change From Last Week +1 🙂

Best Song: “Burn Out,” 10/10
Worst Song: “One That Got Away,” 1/10
Mode Score: 0 (14 songs)

Gone:

  • Scotty McCreery, “This Is It” (recurrent)

Leaving:

  • Midland, “Burn Out” (made a massive push to go from #6 to #2, “thank you country radio!” ad in Country Aircheck this week)
  • Jordan Davis, “Take It From Me” (down from #1 to #4)
  • Luke Bryan, “What Makes You Country” (down from #4 to #9)

Aging:

  • Chris Stapleton, “Millionaire” (#3 after 45 weeks)
  • Tyler Rich, “The Difference” (#20 after 44 weeks, lost its bullet this week)
  • Rodney Atkins ft. The Fisk Jubilee Singers, “Caught Up In The Country” (#23 after 43 weeks)

In Real Trouble:

  • Rascal Flatts, “Back To Life” (down from #33 to #34, gained only thirty-three spins and 88 points this week)

In Some Trouble:

  • Carrie Underwood, “Love Wins” (holds at #12, but gained only sixty-six spins and seventy-one points, and hasn’t looked strong recently)
  • Kacey Musgraves, “Rainbow” (down from #39 to #41, gained only sixty spins and eighty-one points, and her relationship with radio has never been great)
  • Chris Lane, “I Don’t Know About You” (down from #44 to #48, gained only fifty-one spins and 134 points, and was passed by five songs)
  • Dylan Schneider, “How Does It Sound” (down from #49 to #50, lost its bullet, and sounds like it’s going to get run over by “REDNECKER” next week)

In No Trouble At All:

  • Thomas Rhett, “Look What God Gave Her” (instead of regressing to the mean, it went up from #29 to #24)
  • Jason Aldean, “Rearview Town” (up to #47)
  • Dan + Shay, “All To Myself” (up from #47 to #42)

Is Luke Combs:

  • Luke Combs, “Beautiful Crazy” (up from #2 to #1, likely to stay there another week)

Bubbling Under 50:

On The Way:

Overall Thoughts: It seems that as the temperature rises this year, so too does the quality of the airwaves.

Luke Combs assumes his rightful position at #1 this week, and with Midland bowing out and Stapleton as least another week away, Combs will likely hold his position for another week (bringing him to a month on top of Billboard’s chart). The bigger story for me, however, is the second straight week of positive movement in the Pulse: Even with the loss of a half-decent song like McCreery’s, the Pulse continues moving in the right direction thanks to Aldean’s solid offering and an at-worst tolerable Thomas Rhett tune. Midland’s imminent departure and HARDY’s imminent arrival will screw things up next week, but on the flip side we’ll also lose Jordan Davis soon, and maybe Ashley McBryde will finally break into the Top 50 as well. For the first time in a while, I’m feeling strongly optimistic about the state of the radio going forward.

So what do you think? Are the numbers better or worse than you expected? Leave your thoughts in the comments below!