Several years ago, Josh Schott started a weekly feature on the Country Perspective blog that asked a simple question: Based on Billboard’s country airplay charts, just how good (or bad) is country radio at this very moment? In the spirit of the original feature, I decided to try my hand at evaluating the state of the radio myself.
The methodology is as follows: Each song that appears is assigned a score based on its review score. 0/10 songs get the minimum score (-5), 10/10 songs get the maximum (+5), and so on. The result (which can range from +250 to -250) gives you an idea of where things stand on the radio.
This week’s numbers are from the latest version of Country Aircheck, but I’m going to link to their archives since I never remember to update this from week to week. Without further ado, let’s crunch some numbers!
*Preliminary Grade
Best Song: “Bye Mom,” 8/10
Worst Song: “Come Back As A Country Boy,” 1/10
Gone:
- Sam Hunt, “23” (recurrent)
- Luke Bryan, “Up” (recurrent)
- Tenille Arts, “Back Then, Right Now” (recurrent)
- Midland, “Sunrise Tells The Story” (recurrent)
- Little Big Town, “Hell Yeah” (dropped below #50)
Leaving:
- Eric Church, “Heart On Fire” (up from #5 to #2, but this was its final push)
- Dierks Bentley ft. BRELAND & HARDY, “Beers On Me” (down from #1 to #3)
- Elle King & Miranda Lambert, “Drunk (And I Don’t Want To Go Home)” (down from #7 to #8
Zombie Tracks:
- Blake Shelton, “Come Back As A Country Boy” (holds at #11, but gained only twenty-five spins and lost points. Would someone put this garbage out of its misery already?)
- HARDY, “Give Heaven Some Hell” (up from #10 to #9)
- Caroline Jones, “Come In (But Don’t Make Yourself Comfortable)” (up from #37 to #36, but gained only twenty spins and twenty-nine points)
- Chris Janson, “Bye Mom” (down from #39 to #41, lost its bullet again)
In Real Trouble:
- ERNEST ft. Morgan Wallen, “Flower Shops” (up from #21 to #20, but lost its bullet again. This thing had solid momentum not long ago—what happened?
- Michael Ray, “Holy Water” (up from #48 to #47, but lost its bullet)
In Some Trouble:
- Miranda Lambert, “If I Was A Cowboy” (down from #16 to #17, gained only fifty-five spins and 130 points. This may have run out of gas)
- Jake Owen, “Best Thing Since Backroads” (down from #17 to #18, gained only twenty-three spins and fifty-one points. This one’s low on fuel as well)
- Morgan Wade, “Wilder Days” (up from #35 to #32, but gained only twenty-six spins and fifty-eight points)
- Dillon Carmichael, “Son Of A” (debuts at #49, but gained only nineteen spins and fifty-six points)
- Chayce Beckham & Lindsay Ell, “Can’t Do Without Me” (debuts at #50, but took several months to get here, and gained only ten spins and forty-three points)
In No Trouble At All:
- Kelsea Ballerini, “HEARTFIRST” (up from #51 to #43)
- Mitchell Tenpenny, “Truth About You” (up from #45 to #39)
- Jelly Roll, “Son Of A Sinner” (up from #40 to #35)
- Gabby Barrett, “Pick Me Up” (up from #42 to #37)
- Morgan Wallen, “Wasted On You” (up from #18 to #14)
- Parmalee, “Take My Name” (up from #20 to #16)
- Ingrid Andress & Sam Hunt, “Wishful Drinking” (up from #38 to #34)
- Brett Young, “You Didn’t” (up from #42 to #38)
Is still Thanos?:
- Luke Combs, “Doin’ This” (holds at #4)
Bubbling Under 50:
- Joe Nichols, “Good Day For Living”
- Kameron Marlowe, “Giving You Up”
- Eli Young Band, “Love Talking”
- Jameson Rodgers, “Missing One”
On The Way:
- Russell Dickerson ft. Jake Scott, “She Likes It”
- Thompson Square, “Country In My Soul”
Overall Thoughts: This was a week of action on the charts, as Arts joined Hunt, Bryan, and Midland on the way to the exit (LBT fell off the chart as well, though they’ll likely be back soon). Unfortunately, what we got to replace all of them wasn’t all that exciting (Stapleton was the only non-neutral score), ultimately making this a week of addition by subtraction. None of this will repeat itself next week: Swindell and Wilson apear to be angling for another week atop the mountain (likely keeping upward movement to a minimum), and King/Lambert and Church are the next candidates to leave. The wild cards, however, are the zombie tracks, as both the best song (Janson) and the worst song (Shelton) could call it quits any day now, which would throw the Pulse for a loop.
I’m also curious how long HARDY sticks around: That song is already sixteen months old, and will likely need another 7-8 weeks to reach #1. It’s stuck behind Swindell/Wilson, Thanos, Pearce/McBryde, Urban, and Rhett, and will be passed by at least Hayes and Aldean before it reaches its peak. If I had to bet, I think Wallen will get by it as well (they’re labelmates, but Wallen’s got too much momentum right now), but McGraw and Morris pose no threat to it, and Parmalee is probably too far behind it to pass it in time. Is Big Loud willing to wait that long for a Mediabase #1? I have my doubts.
On the coronavirus front, I advise folks to fasten their seatbelts and keep their hands and feet inside the vehicle at all times: New case averages continue to rise nationally, and now hospitalizations appear to be rising in some locations. Deaths aren’t going up just yet, but they’re usually a few weeks behind hospitalizations, which means we may be headed for another deadly round with this virus. Unfortunately, while mask requirements are being reinstated in some places, for the most part these guidelines remain voluntary, putting the burden on the individual to decide what they should do based on their own tolerance for risk. Personally, I was still uncomfortable with the level of virus transmission even before this latest increase, so I’m still on the soapbox preaching caution:
- Wear a high-quality mask and maintain proper social distance from others when in public. A high-quality mask that fits well can still provide solid protection, even if you’re the only one wearing one.
- If you’re not vaccinated yet, get your shots at the earliest opportunity, get your booster shot once you become eligible, and if you’re over 50 and it’s been four months or more since your booster, think about getting a second booster now that the CDC has authorized it.
It’s going to be a rough couple of weeks going forward as virus circulation increases and people do their best to ignore it until it’s too late. Your personal decisions still matter, however, and by following our tried-and-true best practices, you can still help keep yourself and the people you care about safe.
Will you review Triangle Strategy after you beat the game?
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“Flower Shops” struggling is incredibly puzzling to me as well. Seemed like it was a no-brainer candidate for a future #1. My only thought is that maybe Big Loud doesn’t want an over saturation of Wallen on the radio. “Wasted On You,” as much as I don’t care for it, has been blazing up the charts, and after that peaks, they’re probably gonna release “Don’t Think Jesus” to radio considering it’s gone viral on TikTok and is already a #1 on the freaking HOT 100. Plus he has other red-hot recurrents that are still getting play, like “Sand In My Boots” and “Chasin’ You.”
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Don’t mind my earlier comment.
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